This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 148 recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 March 2026 — 16 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 5:07PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
An estimated 490,916 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 9 March 2026
- July 11, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 10, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 9, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 55 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 77% |
| Coordinates | 34.8000, -92.2000 |
| Nearest City | Sherwood (3 km) |
| Population Exposed | 490.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T22:07:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.146e2c25179a31ac4be06151dca41bcc |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Arkansas, AR; Bradley, AR; Calhoun, AR; Clark, AR; Cleburne, AR; Cleveland, AR; Conway, AR; Dallas, AR; Desha, AR; Drew, AR; Faulkner, AR; Fulton, AR; Garland, AR; Grant, AR; Hot Spring, AR; Independence, AR; Izard, AR; Jackson, AR; Jefferson, AR; Lawrence, AR; Lincoln, AR; Lonoke, AR; Monroe, AR; Ouachita, AR; Perry, AR; Pike, AR; Prairie, AR; Pulaski, AR; Randolph, AR; Saline, AR; Sharp, AR; Stone, AR; Van Buren, AR; White, AR; Woodruff, AR; Columbia, AR; Hempstead, AR; Lafayette, AR; Miller, AR; Nevada, AR; Union, AR; Bienville, LA; Bossier, LA; Caddo, LA; Claiborne, LA; De Soto, LA; Lincoln, LA; Red River, LA; Union, LA; Webster, LA; Cass, TX; Cherokee, TX; Gregg, TX; Harrison, TX; Marion, TX; Nacogdoches, TX; Panola, TX; Rusk, TX; Shelby, TX; Smith, TX; Upshur, TX; Ashley, AR; Chicot, AR; East Carroll, LA; Morehouse, LA; West Carroll, LA; Attala, MS; Bolivar, MS; Carroll, MS; Choctaw, MS; Clay, MS; Grenada, MS; Holmes, MS; Humphreys, MS; Issaquena, MS; Leflore, MS; Montgomery, MS; Oktibbeha, MS; Sharkey, MS; Sunflower, MS; Washington, MS; Webster, MS; Yazoo, MS and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 5:07PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T21:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Little Rock AR |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.146e2c25179a31ac4be06151dca41bcc656a14f2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.910308d1be3856c2188299df045f186c7a7f1cb7.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dd26f433f48efc8b0a75fcd058a3a70e999a7804.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.19edefabbee2ff907e628df04230fef555a35590.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Sherwood (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.